HVS forecasts full Manhattan hotel market recovery beyond 2019 levels by 2027/28, with 2025 ADR already 34% above pre-pandemic highs, though tariffs and geopolitical shifts pose short-term headwinds.HVS forecasts full Manhattan hotel market recovery beyond 2019 levels by 2027/28, with 2025 ADR already 34% above pre-pandemic highs, though tariffs and geopolitical shifts pose short-term headwinds.